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Week 9 of the NFL season survivor pool: public favorites and considerable upsets

Publish Date: 04/11/2023
Fact checked by: Mark Lewis
Video: NFL Week 9 Picks Updates, Props and Best Bets | Drew & Stew

NFL Week 9 Picks Updates, Props and Best Bets | Drew & Stew

Week 9 of the NFL season is underway, and survival football enthusiasts are seeking the best picks.

Last week, almost everyone made it through unscathed, with all the favored NFL survivor picks moving forward. Week 9, however, presents a more challenging scenario, with only two teams favored by just -7.5 points, making the margin tighter.

Quarterback injuries are significant factors influencing NFL picks, as recent weeks have witnessed several signal-callers nursing injuries. While paying attention to these injuries is not strictly required, ignoring them entirely is unwise when selecting the best Week 9 NFL picks and survivor pool choices.

Consequently, the majority of the public is gravitating towards either the Cleveland Browns (50 percent) or New Orleans Saints (33 percent) for their Week 9 survivor selections. At present, only one team is attracting up to three percent of public choices. This is interesting when considering nfl odds comparisons.

Best picks for Week 9

In the matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the Los Angeles Rams, the point spread favors the Packers by -3 points, with a pick popularity of 39 percent. Despite being the favorites, the public’s pick rates show greater support for the Rams.

This discrepancy is likely due to the uncertainty surrounding Matthew Stafford’s thumb injury, as the Rams were initially favored by 1.5 points in last week’s look-ahead lines before the injury. The game’s outcome may pivot on the latest news about Stafford’s condition. Currently, the Packers offer a strong value play option.

Next to consider are the New England Patriots, favored against the Washington Commanders with a -3.5-point spread, but the public remains divided at 53 percent. The Commanders’ inconsistent offense and consistently poor defense, coupled with recent trades, have contributed to their underdog status.

Washington ranks 29th in yards allowed and 31st in points allowed. The line has shifted in favor of New England after the trades.

Meanwhile, the Carolina Panthers are taking on the Indianapolis Colts at home with a +3-point spread, and only 18 percent of the public is backing them. The Panthers secured their first win of the season last week and now face the Colts as slight underdogs.

Despite the close point spread, the majority of picks go against the Panthers, making them a value gamble in weekly prize pools.

The Atlanta Falcons are favored by -5 points against the Minnesota Vikings, with a 77 percent popularity rating. Although the Falcons stumbled as value favorites against the Titans in QB Will Levis’ debut, they have another opportunity facing the Vikings, who are now missing QB Kirk Cousins due to an Achilles injury. Despite being the fourth-largest favorite in Week 9, the Falcons are only the seventh-most popular pick at the moment.

Lastly, the New York Giants are playing against the Las Vegas Raiders with a +2.5-point spread, and they have a 22 percent popularity rating. The Giants recently came close to an upset against the Jets, taking the game to overtime. This week, they face the Raiders, who just dismissed their head coach, Josh McDaniels, following another poor performance on Monday Night Football.

Despite their offensive struggles in the previous game, where they had to rely on third-string QB Tommy DeVito and ended with negative passing yards, the return of Daniel Jones (neck) is expected. The odds suggest that the Giants have a good upset potential, with their current popularity, even though it’s a bit of a gamble.

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